tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → San Francisco via Honolulu: arrives on time 91%

  1. 19:15 KOA → 20:03 HNL
    AS 1167 · Alaska · 48m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:01 HNL → 07:05 SFO +1 day
    UA 1176 · United · 5h 04m · 92% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 88 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time91%First flight not cancelled (0.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip8h 50mKOA 19:15 to SFO 07:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.