tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → San Francisco via Kailua/Kona: arrives on time 93%

  1. 18:45 HNL → 19:31 KOA
    AS 1168 · Alaska · 46m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 19m layover in Kailua/Kona (KOA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:50 KOA → 07:00 SFO +1 day
    UA 1724 · United · 5h 10m · 97% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 19m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (97%).
Total trip9h 15mHNL 18:45 to SFO 07:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.