tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Seattle via Honolulu: arrives on time 64%

  1. 18:58 OGG → 19:37 HNL
    AS 1175 · Alaska · 39m · 69% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 43m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 HNL → 05:59 SEA +1 day
    AS 122 · Alaska · 5h 39m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 58 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 43m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 01mOGG 18:58 to SEA 05:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.