tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Lihue via Honolulu: arrives on time 54%

  1. 19:43 OGG → 20:22 HNL
    AS 1185 · Alaska · 39m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:18 HNL → 21:59 LIH
    AS 1173 · Alaska · 41m · 79% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip2h 16mOGG 19:43 to LIH 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.