tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Seattle via Honolulu: arrives on time 49%

  1. 19:43 OGG → 20:22 HNL
    AS 1185 · Alaska · 39m · 74% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:20 HNL → 05:59 SEA +1 day
    AS 122 · Alaska · 5h 39m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Kahului). Times are local. Both flew on 37 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip7h 16mOGG 19:43 to SEA 05:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.