tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Portland via Kahului: arrives on time 63%

  1. 19:30 HNL → 20:12 OGG
    AS 1206 · Alaska · 42m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:10 OGG → 05:32 PDX +1 day
    AS 558 · Alaska · 5h 22m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 02mHNL 19:30 to PDX 05:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.