tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kailua/Kona via Honolulu: arrives on time 74%

  1. 16:20 SEA → 19:16 HNL
    AS 121 · Alaska · 5h 56m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 47m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:03 HNL → 21:50 KOA
    AS 1178 · Alaska · 47m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 47m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 30mSEA 16:20 to KOA 21:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.