tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Kahului via Honolulu: arrives on time 65%

  1. 16:20 SEA → 19:16 HNL
    AS 121 · Alaska · 5h 56m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 44m layover in Honolulu (HNL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:00 HNL → 21:41 OGG
    AS 1216 · Alaska · 41m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kahului is 3 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 44m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip8h 21mSEA 16:20 to OGG 21:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.