tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Ontario via Seattle: arrives on time 80%

  1. 21:20 HNL → 05:59 SEA
    AS 122 · Alaska · 5h 39m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 2h 34m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:33 SEA → 11:14 ONT +1 day
    AS 1364 · Alaska · 2h 41m · 90% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 10h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Ontario is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 109 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 34m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 54mHNL 21:20 to ONT 11:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.