tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → New York via Seattle: arrives on time 69%

  1. 21:20 HNL → 05:59 SEA
    AS 122 · Alaska · 5h 39m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:29 SEA → 17:55 JFK +1 day
    AS 34 · Alaska · 5h 26m · 76% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 14h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 6 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip14h 35mHNL 21:20 to JFK 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.