tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Honolulu → Oakland via Seattle: arrives on time 72%

  1. 21:20 HNL → 05:59 SEA
    AS 122 · Alaska · 5h 39m · 71% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:12 SEA → 09:26 OAK +1 day
    AS 533 · Alaska · 2h 14m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Oakland is 3 h ahead of Honolulu). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip9h 06mHNL 21:20 to OAK 09:26, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.