tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Seattle via Kahului: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:52 KOA → 14:29 OGG
    AS 1259 · Alaska · 37m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Kahului (OGG) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 OGG → 23:59 SEA
    AS 244 · Alaska · 5h 44m · 85% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection30%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 70% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (30%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 07mKOA 13:52 to SEA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.