tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kahului → Honolulu via Lihue: arrives on time 55%

  1. 15:43 OGG → 16:30 LIH
    AS 1269 · Alaska · 47m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Lihue (LIH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:34 LIH → 18:11 HNL
    AS 1134 · Alaska · 37m · 77% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 2h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip2h 28mOGG 15:43 to HNL 18:11, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.