tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Anchorage via Los Angeles: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:59 SEA → 18:44 LAX
    AS 1300 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:31 LAX → 23:55 ANC
    AS 1899 · Alaska · 5h 24m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 56mSEA 15:59 to ANC 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.