tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Los Angeles via Portland: arrives on time 54%

  1. 15:02 SFO → 16:47 PDX
    AS 1302 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:37 PDX → 20:09 LAX
    AS 278 · Alaska · 2h 32m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 07mSFO 15:02 to LAX 20:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.