tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 93%

  1. 15:02 SFO → 16:47 PDX
    AS 1302 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 PDX → 22:30 SNA
    AS 518 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip7h 28mSFO 15:02 to SNA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.