tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Palm Springs via Portland: arrives on time 40%

  1. 15:02 SFO → 16:47 PDX
    AS 1302 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 PDX → 20:14 PSP
    AS 3022 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 38m · 68% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip5h 12mSFO 15:02 to PSP 20:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.