tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Fresno via Portland: arrives on time 83%

  1. 15:02 SFO → 16:47 PDX
    AS 1302 · Alaska · 1h 45m · 76% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 11m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:58 PDX → 20:56 FAT
    AS 3024 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 58m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 86 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 11m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip5h 54mSFO 15:02 to FAT 20:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.