tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Honolulu via Seattle: arrives on time 41%

  1. 12:47 LAX → 15:33 SEA
    AS 1305 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:20 SEA → 19:16 HNL
    AS 121 · Alaska · 5h 56m · 70% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 9h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 29mLAX 12:47 to HNL 19:16, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.