tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → San Francisco via Seattle: arrives on time 54%

  1. 12:47 LAX → 15:33 SEA
    AS 1305 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:36 SEA → 18:48 SFO
    AS 1385 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 01mLAX 12:47 to SFO 18:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.