tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 38%

  1. 12:47 LAX → 15:33 SEA
    AS 1305 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:19 SEA → 18:54 LAS
    AS 1456 · Alaska · 2h 35m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection59%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 41% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (59%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 07mLAX 12:47 to LAS 18:54, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.