tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 59%

  1. 12:47 LAX → 15:33 SEA
    AS 1305 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 21m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:54 SEA → 19:19 MSO
    AS 2123 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 25m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 36 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 21m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 32mLAX 12:47 to MSO 19:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.