tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Hailey via Seattle: arrives on time 39%

  1. 12:47 LAX → 15:33 SEA
    AS 1305 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:25 SEA → 19:01 SUN
    AS 2322 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 36m · 63% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hailey is 1 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 14mLAX 12:47 to SUN 19:01, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.