tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Pasco via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 12:47 LAX → 15:33 SEA
    AS 1305 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 76% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:28 SEA → 17:27 PSC
    AS 2367 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 59m · 82% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 40mLAX 12:47 to PSC 17:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.