tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Washington via Seattle: arrives on time 66%

  1. 10:19 SJC → 12:30 SEA
    AS 1311 · Alaska · 2h 11m · 91% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:46 SEA → 21:59 DCA
    AS 2 · Alaska · 5h 13m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 8h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip8h 40mSJC 10:19 to DCA 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.