tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Newark via Seattle: arrives on time 71%

  1. 06:17 SJC → 08:34 SEA
    AS 1314 · Alaska · 2h 17m · 87% on time, 0.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 31m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:05 SEA → 18:29 EWR
    AS 477 · Alaska · 5h 24m · 76% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 9h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 46 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 31m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (0.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip9h 12mSJC 06:17 to EWR 18:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.