tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Los Angeles via Seattle: arrives on time 59%

  1. 12:52 STS → 14:55 SEA
    AS 1322 · Alaska · 2h 03m · 76% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:59 SEA → 18:44 LAX
    AS 1300 · Alaska · 2h 45m · 77% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 52mSTS 12:52 to LAX 18:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.