tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 60%

  1. 12:52 STS → 14:55 SEA
    AS 1322 · Alaska · 2h 03m · 76% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 24m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:19 SEA → 18:54 LAS
    AS 1456 · Alaska · 2h 35m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 39 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 24m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 02mSTS 12:52 to LAS 18:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.