tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Rosa → Phoenix via Seattle: arrives on time 72%

  1. 12:52 STS → 14:55 SEA
    AS 1322 · Alaska · 2h 03m · 76% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:55 SEA → 19:53 PHX
    AS 744 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 75 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip7h 01mSTS 12:52 to PHX 19:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.