tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Washington via Seattle: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:47 SNA → 09:42 SEA
    AS 1325 · Alaska · 2h 55m · 94% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 4h 04m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:46 SEA → 21:59 DCA
    AS 2 · Alaska · 5h 13m · 70% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 12h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 199 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 04m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip12h 12mSNA 06:47 to DCA 21:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.