tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Chicago via Seattle: arrives on time 44%

  1. 06:47 SNA → 09:42 SEA
    AS 1325 · Alaska · 2h 55m · 94% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:29 SEA → 16:44 ORD
    AS 429 · Alaska · 4h 15m · 56% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 57mSNA 06:47 to ORD 16:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.