tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Missoula via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 09:00 SFO → 11:15 SEA
    AS 1327 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:04 SEA → 14:43 MSO
    AS 660 · Alaska · 1h 39m · 88% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Missoula is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 43mSFO 09:00 to MSO 14:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.