tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Arcata/Eureka via Seattle: arrives on time 51%

  1. 09:00 SFO → 11:15 SEA
    AS 1327 · Alaska · 2h 15m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:26 SEA → 14:13 ACV
    AS 3220 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 47m · 73% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (2.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 13mSFO 09:00 to ACV 14:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.