tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → San Diego via Oakland: arrives on time 38%

  1. 11:41 SEA → 13:59 OAK
    AS 1328 · Alaska · 2h 18m · 73% on time, 0.9% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Oakland (OAK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:50 OAK → 16:26 SAN
    AS 3311 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 36m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.9% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 45mSEA 11:41 to SAN 16:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.