tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Bozeman via Los Angeles: arrives on time 86%

  1. 08:30 SFO → 10:07 LAX
    AS 1329 · Alaska · 1h 37m · 64% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 43m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:50 LAX → 16:24 BZN
    UA 2212 · United · 2h 34m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 73 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 43m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 54mSFO 08:30 to BZN 16:24, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.