tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Bozeman via Seattle: arrives on time 65%

  1. 15:50 SFO → 18:00 SEA
    AS 1340 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 40m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:40 SEA → 23:19 BZN
    AS 458 · Alaska · 1h 39m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Bozeman is 1 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 115 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 40m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip6h 29mSFO 15:50 to BZN 23:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.