tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Omaha via Seattle: arrives on time 44%

  1. 15:50 SFO → 18:00 SEA
    AS 1340 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:47 SEA → 23:59 OMA
    AS 556 · Alaska · 3h 12m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 09mSFO 15:50 to OMA 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.