tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Tampa via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 15:50 SFO → 18:00 SEA
    AS 1340 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 18m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:18 SEA → 05:48 TPA +1 day
    AS 639 · Alaska · 5h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 153 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 18m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip10h 58mSFO 15:50 to TPA 05:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.