tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Anchorage via Seattle: arrives on time 38%

  1. 15:50 SFO → 18:00 SEA
    AS 1340 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:46 SEA → 21:25 ANC
    AS 661 · Alaska · 3h 39m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip6h 35mSFO 15:50 to ANC 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.