tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Las Vegas via Seattle: arrives on time 83%

  1. 15:50 SFO → 18:00 SEA
    AS 1340 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 SEA → 22:55 LAS
    AS 704 · Alaska · 2h 40m · 89% on time, 2.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (2.1% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 05mSFO 15:50 to LAS 22:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.