tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Francisco → Baltimore via Seattle: arrives on time 90%

  1. 15:50 SFO → 18:00 SEA
    AS 1340 · Alaska · 2h 10m · 69% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:36 SEA → 05:41 BWI +1 day
    AS 781 · Alaska · 5h 05m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip10h 51mSFO 15:50 to BWI 05:41, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.