tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Santa Rosa via Phoenix: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:00 PDX → 09:49 PHX
    AS 1349 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 46m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:35 PHX → 15:42 STS
    AA 6459 · American, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 136 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 46m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip8h 42mPDX 07:00 to STS 15:42, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.