tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Santa Rosa via Portland: arrives on time 53%

  1. 11:23 LAX → 13:44 PDX
    AS 1355 · Alaska · 2h 21m · 84% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:30 PDX → 16:15 STS
    AS 3483 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 1h 45m · 80% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 52mLAX 11:23 to STS 16:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.