tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Pittsburgh via Seattle: arrives on time 48%

  1. 06:00 LAX → 08:47 SEA
    AS 1365 · Alaska · 2h 47m · 86% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:34 SEA → 17:12 PIT
    AS 412 · Alaska · 4h 38m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip8h 12mLAX 06:00 to PIT 17:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.