tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Spokane via Seattle: arrives on time 56%

  1. 19:09 LAX → 21:58 SEA
    AS 1368 · Alaska · 2h 49m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:54 SEA → 23:59 GEG
    AS 350 · Alaska · 1h 05m · 85% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 50mLAX 19:09 to GEG 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.