tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Santa Ana via Portland: arrives on time 84%

  1. 16:19 BWI → 18:56 PDX
    AS 1369 · Alaska · 5h 37m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Portland (PDX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 PDX → 22:30 SNA
    AS 518 · Alaska · 2h 31m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival (Santa Ana is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip9h 11mBWI 16:19 to SNA 22:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.