tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Medford via Seattle: arrives on time 81%

  1. 16:25 LAX → 19:11 SEA
    AS 1375 · Alaska · 2h 46m · 68% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 29m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 SEA → 00:04 MFR +1 day
    AS 2461 · Alaska, flown by Horizon · 1h 24m · 89% on time, 4.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 45 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 164 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 29m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 39mLAX 16:25 to MFR 00:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.