tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Diego → Salt Lake City via Seattle: arrives on time 41%

  1. 15:16 SAN → 18:14 SEA
    AS 1381 · Alaska · 2h 58m · 57% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Seattle (SEA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:07 SEA → 22:14 SLC
    AS 3298 · Alaska, flown by SkyWest · 2h 07m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 1 h ahead of San Diego). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 58mSAN 15:16 to SLC 22:14, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.