tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → New York via San Francisco: arrives on time 89%

  1. 16:36 SEA → 18:48 SFO
    AS 1385 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 42m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:30 SFO → 06:20 JFK +1 day
    AS 211 · Alaska · 5h 50m · 92% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 10h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 117 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 42m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip10h 44mSEA 16:36 to JFK 06:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.