tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Anchorage via San Francisco: arrives on time 49%

  1. 16:36 SEA → 18:48 SFO
    AS 1385 · Alaska · 2h 12m · 71% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in San Francisco (SFO) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:47 SFO → 23:41 ANC
    AS 212 · Alaska · 4h 54m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Anchorage is 1 h behind Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip8h 05mSEA 16:36 to ANC 23:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.